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Originally Posted by AdrienD  flop:[/B] yeah by raising you polarize your range, but his calling range has a lot more Ax type hands that crush than hands that you beat so eventhough you might get an occasional light call, its just -EV. If you slowplayed AK or AQ preflop thats a different story. |
Hm, he is a winning reg, so we should assume, that his Co-range is pretty wide. Something like 25-30% or even more...
And since I had the feeling, that he is aggro, I think, that he might call with quite some hands that have some equity. So I'm not sure, if it's sooo -EV to raise here. I get a free river and I thought, he might get a turn bet with all his hands that beat me. I can fold vs a 3bet (and he should 3bet his very strong hands) so I don't lose that much by raising.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AdrienD
turn: you check behind, so he puts you on either an ace with good kicker going for potcontrol & tricky, weird 2 pair/trips that is getting tricky, or a draw trying to get free river.
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Why should he ever think, that I slowplay or potcontrol here?
Quote:
Originally Posted by AdrienD
river: he bets out, villain probably thinks your range is very polarized here, so if he happens to have a hand like 88 he is going to check/call or check/fold.
If he had a draw, he probably won't be putting you on one and probably expects you to call 99% of the time so he wont bluff.
I think his bet is for value almost always with 22/33/AK/AQ/AJ
so I would fold.
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My hand really looks like a draw... so I think, that he would bluff a good amount of the time with his draws.