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Originally Posted by TheDeKay  Hm, he is a winning reg, so we should assume, that his Co-range is pretty wide. Something like 25-30% or even more...
And since I had the feeling, that he is aggro, I think, that he might call with quite some hands that have some equity. So I'm not sure, if it's sooo -EV to raise here. |
He's OOP. Winning regs don't usually call with weak hands hoping their opponent is bluffing and will stop doing so on a later street. And like I said, even if he does some % of the time, it is hugely outweight by the times he has you crushed.
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Originally Posted by TheDeKay Why should he ever think, that I slowplay or potcontrol here? |
meh, I guess you got me there
Yeah hes probably not thinking youre going to slowplay or potcontrol after raising the flop, but he is going to check to you more than 90% of the time with hands like AK/AQ/AJ/AT/KK/QQ/.. because like you said, he must think your range either beats him or you are bluffing so he will prob let you bluff again.
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Originally Posted by TheDeKay My hand really looks like a draw... so I think, that he would bluff a good amount of the time with his draws. |
I just think a winning reg isnt bet/calling this flop OOP with many draws.
You are hoping he has a draw AND puts you on a draw with no reads that he actually would play any draw like this.