Well yeah stats do not represent a "good LAG", it doesn't matter though.
I was thinking about folding pre, I'm OOP, I should hope for an A, or maybe flushdraw... Just end up calling to see the flop.
The reason for check-raise is I'm pretty sure I'm good on the flop, so want my money in, and I'm OOP so I need to lead any turn or fear he will check behind (if I check-call the flop). Combining the facts: 1) his PFR size 2) two aces out 3) likeliness of AK is less than big PP, I decided he's more likely to be on KK/QQ. And the flop is so dry that it is hard for him to beleive my check-raise is not a bluff. And he did called.
The reason I don't like turned Q is two-fold: he still might have QQ, and he could have put me on QQ turned into bluff. Anyway, I'd love some kind of deuce on the turn much more than a Q.
If I'm beat or splitting the turn bet size does not matter. If he has worse hand, he's more likely to call (or bluff-raise?) smallish bet, that what I'm thinking of.
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