[nawhead]

I bet more on this flop, 75c to 90c. If he has any sort of pocket pair, he'll call a bigger bet. If he has a flush draw, he'll call a bigger bet. If he has just overs without any sorta draw, he's not calling anyway for any amount unless he's a station, but if so, the more reason to bet bigger, not smaller.

Also, I would bet bigger if I had a draw myself or a 7 (I probably don't have a 7 ever in this spot, but assuming I was in later position and there wasn't a shorstack on the button, etc.). I probably bet a small pocket pair 75c for flop value (maybe a turn bet on KQJ for more value from flush and some fold equity against another pair), then go into check-fold mode on river. I think I cb 30% of the time with good overs (75-90c) for the same reason that he'll call a bet with any pair, but I'd rather cb a turn AKQJ and get some kind of fold equity. The thinking being I'm probably still ahead of most non-paired hands so a bet will not get me any value, so I'm only getting called when behind most times on this board with just overs.

But I don't think a bet/fold is automatic on this board. A lot of people will cb a lot more than 30% with overs here, hoping a small pair just goes away, and a check-raise by 33-JJ or the odd flush draw (and 7... but who ever flops trips?) isn't out of the question. If you don't have a bad image of putting out way too many cb's when you shouldn't be calling raises, and then calling, they'll probably slow down on the turn and river unless they have it.