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Old 10-15-2008, 03:59 PM
Michaellawrw Michaellawrw is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SebastianKnight View Post
What does villain have here? It seems to me his bets just don't add up. We're basically concerned about 3 hands -- 44, 22, and AJ. (KJ is possible, but I would really expect him to check the river with that hand.) I doubt he has a set. If he did I would expect him to call the flop donk hoping for a raise from opener. AJ might have squeezed. This player has demonstrated he is not shy about raising preflop.

I think the turn is close. If you call, you're committed to calling the river -- surely he has a bluff at least 1/3 of the time.
I just don't see the short stacking bluffing that often. KJ is definitely possible in his range, along with random str8's and two pairs. Blind defending range is a lot of SC and small pp
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