
11-06-2008, 06:33 AM
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 | Senior Member | | Join Date: May 2008 Location: Germany (sometimes China)
Posts: 1,486
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Well, if you give him a quite large range like this, you have 40% equity:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.154% 38.58% 00.57% 32846 489.50 { AdTd }
Hand 1: 60.846% 60.27% 00.57% 51315 489.50 { TT, KTs+, Q9s+, JTs, 98s, KTo+, Q9o+, JTo, 98o }
There are no pure bluff, only semi-bluffs in that range.
You get about 22.5 to 13.5 ~ 1.66 to 1, so you need to win about 1/2.66 % (37,5%) of the time.
=> Call is an ok play, if you think, that he shoves that range.
But: If he does not shove 89 it looks way worse:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.832% 29.26% 00.58% 20274 399.50 { AdTd }
Hand 1: 70.168% 69.59% 00.58% 48227 399.50 { TT, KTs+, Q9s+, JTs, KTo+, Q9o+, JTo }
If he has pure bluffs in his range:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.487% 50.91% 00.58% 55442 627.50 { AdTd }
Hand 1: 48.513% 47.94% 00.58% 52203 627.50 { TT, KTs+, Q9s+, JTs, 98s, KTo+, Q9o+, JTo, 98o, 65o, 54o }
Well, as you see: You are not a favourite if you call against some kind of reasonable range => high variance call.
I would prefer, to check behind on the flop.
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