AK sb against flop shove 30nl 5max

[Opanza]

Here's another situation with AK against short stack donkey.

Dealing down cards
Dealt to HERO [Kh Ac]
[$40] [B]HERO [/B posts the small blind of $0.15
NAURAJA69 posts the big blind of $0.30
highkickAA folds.
Takitto folds.
[$11.82] VILLAIN calls $0.30.
[B]HERO [/B raises to $1.65.
NAURAJA69 folds.
VILLAIN calls $1.35.

Dealing Flop [7c Jc Qs]
[B]HERO [/B bets $2.40.
VILLAIN raises to $10.17, and is all-in.
[B]HERO [/B ?
Shove or fold? Why?

[Richy47]

Fold...... you are clearly behind and you have a weak draw, you can't even be sure that you have additional outs from both of your overcards since villain will often take this line with AJ/AQ/KQ/KJ

[dansiek]

yup easy fold imo.

[no eff eks]

I'm calling this. We're going to have 10 immediate outs most of the time, and we have the backdoor NFD to go along with it. Yes, sometimes he's going to have one of your overcards blocked, but his range here is basically anything that's somewhat connected with the board.

[Richy47]

Just ran a few hands through pokerstove and this might be a call, it's pretty close against a range which has a piece of the board........ if you include a random bluff in villains range then this actually becomes an easy call. So yeah, just ignore my previous post!

[dansiek]

what stats do you have on villain to help us define his range?

[Total Sweetheart]

Richy is one of the reasons you think it is a call because the opponent is short stacked?

If so, how much more money would the opponent have to have before hero should fold to this shove?

[Richy47]

Yes, we are getting almost 2:1 on our money, i.e. we have to call ~$8 into a pot of nearly $15. From a fairly tight range we have approximately 30% equity so we are almost a 2:1 dog so we almost have the right odds to call. If we feel that the villain is bluffing even a small proportion of the time then our equity increases and it's an even clearer call.

If the opponent was full stacked then we would have to fold to the shove since we would be getting far worse than 2:1 odds by making the call.

[Opanza]

Originally Posted by dansiek

what stats do you have on villain to help us define his range?

I had played around 20 hands against him so far. So no specific reads.. I decided to shove here and he had JhTh and took the pot.. Thank you all for the good comments.