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I have 200 hands on villain. He is 25/14/2 and 3-bets 5%. His fold to 3-bet is 50% (over 4 hands) and this is the first 4-bet I've seen him do. The only thing I've really noticed about him is that he likes to take pot-sized stabs at scary flops multi-way but immediately folds when raised. Are you happy to get it in with QQ here? The 4-bet makes me nervous but it is also kinduva resteal situation. Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com saw flop UTG ($6.24) MP ($11.50) CO ($10.36) Button ($10.25) SB ($4.02) Hero (BB) ($13) Preflop: Hero is BB with Q , Q![]() 2 folds, CO bets $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.10, CO raises to $3.35, Hero ? |
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This spot is borderline imo. It's true that you only need about 40% equity against KK+ and AK, but at 10nl, the first 4-bet you see is usually only KK and AA. You're statement about the "pot-sized stabs in multiways" doesn't really apply here since this situation is pre-flop. But w/ all that said, I would 5-bet all-in for two reasons here. One, because as Given said, only 40% equity is needed (plus fold equity). And two, you'll get to see what your opponent's 4 bet range and gain that information for future confrontations. And plus... if it is KK and AA, there's always that 20% suckout.
__________________ Whether he likes it or not, a man’s character is stripped at the poker table; if the other players read him better than he does, he has only himself to blame. Unless he is both able and prepared to see himself as others do, flaws and all, he will be a loser in cards, as in life. |
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My image is really nitty like 14/10, and this is the first time he's seen me 3-bet. I stacked off because 'I have QQ' but I didn't feel good about it. I was just wondering if people ever fold here or is this an auto-stackoff? He's never bluffing here, he's more of a call-and-stab guy than a raise-to-make-you-fold guy. He has some made hand. His range could be JJ+ but I doubt he has AK. Against JJ+ I'm 40%, but that's being generous. Against QQ+ I'm only 20%. So, going with my read, I probably should have folded. But that just seems so weird, to fold QQ preflop, especially at the micros. Does anybody do that? |
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| This is non-factor at 10NL with such a large player pool. You'd have to specifically search out this guy again to make it even a factor. According to short description of villain, he seems like a mild aggro, breakeven-ish type player, so not worth the effort.
Last edited by nawhead; 08-22-2009 at 03:46 PM. |
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I'd chalk it up to just a cooler. (LOL, I think I just described how I've been playing and projected onto villain. But yeah, my stats are very close to that on occasion and I've been playing super breakeven poker and you already know my AK/JJ threads....) Last edited by nawhead; 08-22-2009 at 04:05 PM. |
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at 10NL, the site that I was playing at, Players Only, this would always be AA or KK, very very occassionally, AKs. As you go up in the limits, more AK hands will do this, like at 50NL, I would say. probably a fold. Without the huge sample size, try to just go by what is normal for the limit and the site that you are on. |
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At first I liked ShoveorFolds ironic call suggestion, because I thought the equity difference on a non AK high board against KK+/AKo/AKs would be bigger than it is. Against that range you're 40% pre, and roughly 45/55 on a none A/K board. If you ever think he does this with AQ or JJ, or as a bluff... EVER, then shove. If not Last edited by Spinage; 08-27-2009 at 09:41 PM. |
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