good on flop, behind on turn?, oop

[couriermike]

I have only like 50 hands on villain but he is running 45/10/2. He cold-calls alot. He folds to steal 17%, and he has faced three c-bets so far, folding each time.

I think I really screwed this hand up. I got a little FPS on the flop, but when he calls the flop 3-bet as opposed to shoving I think he has a Tx hand and not a 7. I hate the turn and am really lost. I don't want to stop betting because I could get bluffed by any T and it just seems like giving up, but continuing to bet kinda turns my hand into a bluff in a situation where he already said he's never folding.

How do you play the turn, especially with the inflated pot? For that matter, how would you play the flop?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (3 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Hero (SB) ($11.64)
BB ($9.85)
Button ($11.32)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, K
1 fold, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.80) 7, 7, 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.50, BB raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2

Turn: ($6.80) A (2 players)
Hero ?

[given1982]

I guess you lost this hand, but I think it's played fine as long as you shove the turn. There are plenty of hands to get value from, and an A is not a very likely holding for villain unless it's AT, A7, or Adxd.

[couriermike]

I bet again on the turn because I thought I was still ahead of most T's. He just called. On the river there was so little left behind I just stuck it in because maybe he has JJ or something. But when he just called the turn I knew what he had but it was too late to do anything about it.

What if I had potted the flop and he just called, do you like checking the A turn oop or betting again? If you check, is it a c/f or c/c? Or would you just b/f?

[given1982]

Originally Posted by couriermike

What if I had potted the flop and he just called, would you just b/f?

Yes.

[Kleanthes]

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

95,040 games 0.002 secs 47,520,000 games/sec

Board: 7s 7d Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 69.363% 68.86% 00.50% 65445 477.50 { KcKs }
Hand 1: 30.637% 30.13% 00.50% 28640 477.50 { AA, KdKh, QQ-JJ, TcTh, TcTs, ThTs, 7c7h, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, As3s, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KcTc, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, QdJd, QdTd, Qd9d, Qd8d, Qd7d, JdTd, Jd9d, Jd8d, Jd7d, Td9d, Td8d, Tc7c, Th7h, 9d8d, 9d7d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 7d5d, 6d5d, 6d4d, 5d4d, 5d3d, 4d3d, 4d2d, 3d2d, AcTh, AcTs, AdTc, AdTh, AdTs, AhTc, AhTs, AsTc, AsTh, KcTh, KcTs, KdTc, KdTh, KdTs, KhTc, KhTs, KsTc, KsTh, QcTh, QcTs, QdTc, QdTh, QdTs, QhTc, QhTs, QsTc, QsTh, JcTh, JcTs, JdTc, JdTh, JdTs, JhTc, JhTs, JsTc, JsTh, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Th9c, Th9d, Th9s, Ts9c, Ts9d, Ts9h }


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Here are the Pokerstove Results: You are about 65% Favourite on the Flop against his Minraising Range.


On the Turn, nothing new has happened. So you should still be in good shape. Shoving the Turn is EV+

[couriermike]

My read was he doesn't min-raise the flop with a draw and he shoves over the reraise with a 7. So that just leaves Tx hands and my hand is still good enough to shove especially since he might call with a naked T. Unfortunately he had AT.