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Cake Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Cake-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com Button ($90.60) SB ($29.15) BB ($56.35) Hero (UTG) ($49) MP ($20) CO ($50) Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q , K![]() Hero bets $2, 1 fold, CO calls $2, 3 folds Flop: ($4.75) J , 10 , 9 (2 players)Hero bets $4.55, CO calls $4.55 Turn: ($13.85) A (2 players)Hero bets $13, CO raises to $43.45 (All-In), Hero ?? Easy fold or is he doing this enough with 2 pair and the flush draw or worse straight? The reason for the full size pot bets is that these idiots call you with the draw and so we want to valuetown them. I had not played a lot with the villain/ had not noticed anything obscure about his play. Last edited by Silverthunder; 09-11-2009 at 02:47 AM. |
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Players that I have seen, though, do tend to overplay suited cards preflop. Probably the higher the limit here, the easier the call. If the turn blanked, I would be much more likely to lay it down. |
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It appears that you only need to be good here ~33% of the time based on the potsize and I would think you have enough equity vs his entire range here to make the call. While I'm expecting to lose this to a flopped flush a good portion of the time, I can see AsXx, 99, TT, JJ, 87 all playing this way.
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So you don't think JJ, TT, 99, 87s, KQo, KQs, AsJx AsTx Ax9x would take this line? putting in a range of the following we have a call. Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 49,500 games 0.005 secs 9,900,000 games/sec Board: Js Ts 9s Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 56.307% 48.35% 07.96% 23931 3941.00 { KhQd } Hand 1: 43.693% 35.73% 07.96% 17687 3941.00 { JcJd, JcJh, JdJh, TcTd, TcTh, TdTh, 9c9d, 9c9h, 9d9h, AsKs, AsQs, KcQc, KsQs, JcTc, JdTd, JhTh, Tc9c, Td9d, Th9h, 87s, 7s6s, 6s5s, 5s4s, 4s3s, 3s2s, AsJc, AsJd, AsJh, KcQh, KcQs, KdQc, KdQh, KdQs, KsQc, KsQh, 87o } --- |
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Play your hand face up, expect to get played back face up, pending specific reads (either you have on them or they have on you, which there aren't here). We can put a range of AJ or something to villain the same way we can expect villain to randomly start not paying attention to board texture. Meaning we're just guessing our ass off when we anaylze like this. It's a really bad bluff or he's got us drawing dead. We need to subtract villains' range for frequency of spaz for anything we beat. This isn't a fist pump. This is a crying call at best, assuming villain has a high enough spaz factor. Last edited by nawhead; 09-16-2009 at 06:38 PM. |
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