50NL: overpair in 3bet pot

[tmiby]

villain is 23/20/14 over 64 hands.
do I need to get away here?
flop is kind of dry...but FD and AQ fits great in his range.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Hero (Button) ($61.15)
SB ($50.50)
BB ($39.50)
UTG ($52.10)
MP ($50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, K
1 fold, MP bets $1.50, Hero raises to $5.50, 2 folds, MP calls $4

Flop: ($11.75) 4, 6, Q (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $8, MP raises to $22, Hero raises to $55.65 (All-In), MP calls $22.50 (All-In)

Turn: ($100.75) J (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($100.75) 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $100.75 | Rake: $3

[podbelski]

14 - it's an AF right?

I'm afraid it's a fist-pump all-in. If he shows AA or QQ so you've got coolered

[tmiby]

Originally Posted by podbelski

14 - it's an AF right?

I'm afraid it's a fist-pump all-in. If he shows AA or QQ so you've got coolered

I'm sorry, no! 3rd number is "3bet pre".
AF is 4.

[urbansprawler]

You should be fistpumping and snap-shoving this.

[podbelski]

Well that's hardly changes anything... TBH, I don't know what stat can affect decision in such a spot

fwiw, lower sets are coolers as well, I think there is a small possibility he has it - called pre not to setmine but to outplay you and hit

[urbansprawler]

Originally Posted by podbelski

Well that's hardly changes anything... TBH, I don't know what stat can affect decision in such a spot

Fold to 3-bet and 4-bet can effect your EV, but not enough not to shove.

What can change a decision not to shove is turn AFq and check-raise. This spot is more read-based though imo so that would be very useful.

For example, if villain's range is big draws and AQ/KQ, you can just ship the flop. If you think he raises often with air, you can let him hang himself on the turn.

[podbelski]

Yep agreed