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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 01-26-2010, 07:10 PM
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 25
Default Would you call this 3-bet?

Villian is a TAG running 23/20 agg. factor 2.6 after over 300 hands.
I have watched a video from this site, i think from trikkur, in which he recommends to fold most PPīs to 3-betīs. But in this case my HM Hud showed me that Villian is 3-betting only 1% of his hands, so AA or KK. And he is aggressiv. Hitting a set will pay off big about 80% of the time, i think. Still fold? or call this 3-bet? Thank you

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.20 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($20)
UTG ($20.03)
Hero (MP) ($20)
CO ($26.96)
Button ($20.40)
SB ($14.45)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 2, 2
1 fold, Hero bets $0.70, 3 folds, BB raises $2.40, Hero calls $1.90

Flop: ($5.30) 7, 2, 10 (2 players)
BB bets $3.20, Hero raises $9.05, BB raises $14.20 (All-In), Hero calls $8.35 (All-In)

Turn: ($40.10) 10 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($40.10) A (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $40.10

Results below:
BB had 10, 7 (full house, tens over sevens).
Hero had 2, 2 (full house, twos over tens).
Outcome: BB won $38.10
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 01-26-2010, 08:21 PM
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 999
Default

I would fold.

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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2010, 03:56 AM
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Atlantis, Ocean
Posts: 333
Default

never trust stats

I probably fold 22 here.
And I don't think that you get his stack 80% of the time...

maybe my thinking is to passiv and pesimistic, but what do you do on flops like KQ2, AT2s...

I'm just saying that you won't win the hand every time you make your set. But you probably stick it in every time you get your set...
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2010, 04:00 AM
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 999
Default

Versus said opponent, I don't think calling pre is all too bad.
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