NL 50 rush: AJ as PFR on A-high board - bet the turn?

[podbelski]

Wtf should I do here?

I wanted to bet the turn to protect against a flushdraw, but decided not to because:
- I'm only beating just A3-A8 now, and they are less likely aces in his range. Hard to imagine worse hands he calls my bet with
- T9 got there
- he can have 22/TT

If you bet the turn, then how much? Plan for the river is to check-fold?

As played, it is tempting to call his river bet in hope he bets worse ace. I don't know, I see him having best hand more often than me...



Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

CO ($65.10)
Button ($57.70)
SB ($50.50)
BB ($52.45)
UTG ($52.80)
Hero (MP) ($52.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, J
1 fold, Hero bets $1.75, CO calls $1.75, 3 folds

Flop: ($4.25) 2, 10, A (2 players)
Hero bets $3, CO calls $3

Turn: ($10.25) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

River: ($19.25) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $8.50, Hero folds

Total pot: $19.25 | Rake: $0.95

[urbansprawler]

Why in the world did you check?

I'd bet/fold and maybe check the river.

[TheDeKay]

I think, I call his river bet the way you played. His bet-sizing looks so weak (especially on the turn - so likely no 2pair or set) and we get good oods.

Checking or betting is fine on the turn with no reads imo.

[H_H_H]

Go for value and bet/fold all 3 streets vs an unknown. He will have the same hand as you just as often as 2 pair here and could possibly fold his own AJ to a 3rd barrel.

On the turn you can still get value from draws and worse aces by betting. Check/calling because you're scared of a monster is a mistake IMO. You lose the initiative and gain absolutely no information. If you're going to check, just check fold.

The only time I ever prefer a check/call on any street in this situation is when we have reads that villain will float the flop a lot or bluff with busted draws on the river. Since we don't know that and we are OOP just betbetbet and fold to a raise.

[podbelski]

Yeah, I do not like my turn check... thinking of it now, I guess my play was influenced by previous solid losses