KQs faces turn raise when I hit

[mxrider]

Just doing some review of hands and came across this one and thought it would bring some good discussion. According to PT, villain is 20/15/4 over 75 hands.

What is your play on the turn?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button ($38.50)
Hero ($61.20)
BB ($34.20)
UTG ($25.70)
MP ($34.25)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, K.
3 folds, Hero raises to $1, BB calls $0.75.

Flop: ($2.10) 3, 6, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.25, BB calls $1.25.

Turn: ($4.60) K (2 players)
Hero bets $2.5, BB raises to $7.5, Hero???

[Paddymctaff]

I think I call and c/c a reasonable bet on the river

[TheDeKay]

He should do this /w a lot of hands, so I call here. River play depends on my personal notes on him. I think, I end up donking 1/3p-2/3p most of the time ^^

[no eff eks]

Originally Posted by TheDeKay

I think, I end up donking 1/3p-2/3p most of the time ^^

Why are you doing that??

I guess I like a call, then fold if he bets the river. I would expect him to show up with KT-KQ a lot, and I really doubt he bets again with any of those hands. If he bets super small I would probably call though.

[TheDeKay]

Originally Posted by no eff eks

Why are you doing that??

I guess I like a call, then fold if he bets the river. I would expect him to show up with KT-KQ a lot, and I really doubt he bets again with any of those hands. If he bets super small I would probably call though.

You would fold /w turned top pair good kicker on that board? Villain seems like an aggro player and 633 is a good flop do float or something, so I think he will do this with quite a lot of hands. It is SB vs BB, so it is even more likely, that he just makes a play.
I donk the river, cause I think, we have the best hand here often enough and I want get called by small pp and worse Kx, that would just check behind. I don't know the villain, but I believe that most ppl on this limit won't shoot another barrel after a raise on the turn, so a c/c line won't catch many bluffs.

[no eff eks]

Originally Posted by TheDeKay

I believe that most ppl on this limit won't shoot another barrel after a raise on the turn, so a c/c line won't catch many bluffs.

...which is why I said I c/f the river. Like I said, I don't even think he's betting a Kx besides AK on the river. A small bet will be called by any Kx, but this guy's stats make it look like he might just have a clue and would be willing to bluff-shove because your bet is so weak.

When I said he shows up with KT-KQ "a lot" I didn't really mean I thought that was most of his range. Honestly his line looks more like a really big hand -- A3/66/K6/etc -- than a Kx hand.

[TheDeKay]

Originally Posted by no eff eks

A small bet will be called by any Kx, but this guy's stats make it look like he might just have a clue and would be willing to bluff-shove because your bet is so weak.

... which is why I said, that the riverplay would depend on my notes on him.

Hm, but ok... with his AF of 4 he won't really call so much. So checking is maybe better. But I'm really not sure, if I could fold the river^^

[adam258]

Originally Posted by Paddymctaff

I think I call and c/c a reasonable bet on the river

I also take this line. He could easily be bluffing with 45 here.

[Trikkur]

You guys are forgetting the easiest way to play this river. Call turn, and then bet about 25-33% pot on the river and fold to a shove. He's never bluffing and it lets you get to showdown cheaply.

[mxrider]

Originally Posted by Trikkur

You guys are forgetting the easiest way to play this river. Call turn, and then bet about 25-33% pot on the river and fold to a shove. He's never bluffing and it lets you get to showdown cheaply.

Hmmm. One I hadn't thought of obvioulsy.