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Full Tilt Poker $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com Villians stats are 31/18/4 over 22 hands, no other reads. BTN: $24.00 SB: $46.10 BB: $22.55 UTG: $42.75 MP: $28.45 Hero (CO): $44.75 Pre Flop: Hero is CO with K:spade: K:diamond: 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, 2 folds, BB calls $0.60 Flop: ($1.80) J:spade: T:heart: 7:spade: (2 players) BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB raises to $2.50, Hero raises to $7, BB calls $4.50 Turn: ($15.80) A:diamond: (2 players) BB checks, Hero checks River: ($15.80) J:club: (2 players) BB bets $10, Hero folds how would you have played this hand? |
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I'm placing him on a J of some sort based on his flop play and therefore think I'm going to bet/fold the turn. As played, there's no way you can call the river.
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I think your line is fine. If you bet 8$ (about half pot) on the turn and he shoves, there would be 38.5$ in the pot and 6.7$ more to call, so you get 38.5:6.7 = 5.7 to 1 on your money; that means, that if he has JT you are getting the right odds to call (= you make a mistake by folding) and if he has AJ you're only making a little mistake by calling. And I think, he is not bluffing here after you 3bet him on the flop, so just check, to see a free river card and maybe get a cheap showdown. If he bets the river he has you beat! You don't need to pay any more money to find that out on the turn. |
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Bet/fold on the turn doesn't work very well. If you bet the turn ($15.XX in the pot about that much left in villain's stack), how the hell do you fold if he shoves for a few $$ more when there are so many possible draws? You really can't, especially since we now have a gutshot to the nuts ourselves. I think this was played fine tbh. |