TT flops overpair +OESD

[mxrider]

Villain is a competent player and is playing a very similar game as me. (not that it makes me competent)

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($32.90)
BB ($25)
UTG ($15.70)
Hero ($28.15)
CO ($19.25)
Button ($3.05)

Preflop: Hero is MP with T, T.
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.85, 2 folds, SB raises to $3.25, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.40.

Flop: ($6.75) 7, 8, 9 (2 players)
SB bets $5, Hero???

Villain's cbet % is 24.

[given1982]

I have never met a villain that only cbet 24% that I considered competent. That stat is very compelling, especially if it's over a large number of hands. That means that he really likes his hand in this instance, so I would probably peel and try to hit a 6, T, or J, expecting to stack QQ+ if I do.

[no eff eks]

Originally Posted by given1982

I have never met a villain that only cbet 24% that I considered competent. That stat is very compelling, especially if it's over a large number of hands. That means that he really likes his hand in this instance, so I would probably peel and try to hit a 6, T, or J, expecting to stack QQ+ if I do.

I have to assume that the 24% c-bet stat is just an anomaly and the stats are just from a few hands at this specific table.

Still, it does give you an idea that he doesn't c-bet with air very often, so I agree with peeling once trying to stack his likely overpair.

[TheDeKay]

If he is a competent player, as you said, I just fold. Would you stack off /w AA on a 789T or 789J board?
If he has a very tight 3betting range, than I call here to setmine preflop or to take a stab at the pot, if he checks to me, cause he only Cbets good hands, if the Cbet% is valid. But I'm done right here. If he is able to get away from AA here, I might take a stab, but not without knowing that.

[no eff eks]

If we hit the turn the pot is big enough that he really shouldn't be folding an overpair, especially QQ.

[TheDeKay]

Originally Posted by no eff eks

If we hit the turn the pot is big enough that he really shouldn't be folding an overpair, especially QQ.

What does he beat if the Js comes on the turn?
+ What do you do, if the Jh comes on the turn? AhKh should be in his range!

[loicve]

I think he has AhKh or QQ+. Either way, most of the time, you won't find a safe turn.

Raising seems useless because as it was said, he seems to like his hand.
So, you can fold or call. I think you can call to see how he will act on the turn and adjust your decision. Are the implied odds worth it ? Either way, folding stays a safe solution.

[adam258]

Check behind here and take your free card. IMO, he is setting a trap with his likely overpair. He checks to you hoping you put out a bet and then he can basically just shove to protect his hand on a board he doesn't like very much. Checking behind flop. Re-evaluate turn. But most turns that don't help us, I would ck/f to most bets and just be done with the hand.

[mxrider]

Originally Posted by adam258

Check behind here and take your free card. IMO, he is setting a trap with his likely overpair. He checks to you hoping you put out a bet and then he can basically just shove to protect his hand on a board he doesn't like very much. Checking behind flop. Re-evaluate turn. But most turns that don't help us, I would ck/f to most bets and just be done with the hand.

I can't check behind here as he bet $5 into me.