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CO is 27/8/1.9 over 1.1k datamined hands. This is BB's first hand at the table. Actually, the turn doesn't seem as scary now as it did at the table. B/c here? Party Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter MP: $24.48 CO: $41.55 BTN: $33.46 SB: $99.27 BB: $17.55 Hero (UTG): $53.25 Pre-Flop: dealt to Hero (UTG)Hero raises to $1, MP folds, CO calls $1, 2 folds, BB calls $0.75 Flop: ($3.10) (3 Players)BB checks, Hero bets $2.45, CO calls $2.45, BB calls $2.45 Turn: ($10.45) (3 Players)BB checks, Hero??? |
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I think, that I would bet about 6$ and see what happens. If Co goes crazy, I fold; if Co calls and BB shoves, I fold most of the time; if Co folds and BB shoves, I call. I really hate giving a free card on that board and lose my control over the pot. Most of the time, I expect the Co to just call, if he made his flush, so we see the river quite cheap and get paid of big, if we hit our full house. I only fear the Co here, cause the BB has only 14$ left and the pot is already so big, that I don't like folding a set + he will shove with 44, J9 or JT or AsJ, so we should have enough equity (if he calls with sc oop, J9 and JT should be in his range, if he does not, we have nothing to fear) against his range. |
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Stacks are deep enough to check/call most bets from CO. You've got good implied odds to stack him if you boat up, and checking behind makes it really tough to do. $6 to $6.50 sounds good to me. If he ships it in I guess I'd fold since his stats give me the impression he's fairly weak/tight post flop. As for the other guy... he's short, w/e I'm bet calling a shove from him. |
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