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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 06-26-2009, 12:53 PM
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Default 200nl KK on dry board

Villain seems to be playing a pretty solid game so far. When he donks into me, I'm thinking an overpair most of the time and a bluff at times as well on this board. When he calls my raise, I'm thinking overpair of some sort. He's playing an overall 22/19/2 with a 9% cold call. Should we be betting the turn? Should we be betting the river?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($225.10)
CO ($203)
Button ($43.20)
SB ($200)
BB ($1007.40)
Hero (UTG) ($708.70)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, K
Hero bets $7, MP calls $7, 2 folds, SB calls $6, 1 fold

Flop: ($23) 6, 6, 3 (3 players)
SB bets $15, Hero raises to $40, 1 fold, SB calls $25

Turn: ($103) 10 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($103) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero?
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Old 06-26-2009, 01:05 PM
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I'm betting the turn and shoving the river. He doesn't have a lot of 6s in his range, and even if 67s, 56s, and A6s are in his range, so are 45s and 77-TT (maybe even JJ).
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Old 06-26-2009, 01:49 PM
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I think, I would make it like 57$ on the turn and shove the river.
If you don't want to bet the turn for some reason, at least make a good sized value bet (like 76$+) on the river, since he checked twice.
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Old 07-13-2009, 10:35 PM
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It seems like the only hand he might check twice is quads. If he made a boat, straight or had a six he'd try to get some value. If he had AA he'd have raised pre flop. He probably has an overpair to the board. Id bet over pot at the river since it looks weak and will likely get paid off.

(Given the stack sizes and villian's tight range I wouldn't pot control the turn.)
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Old 07-13-2009, 11:48 PM
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I'd definitely bet the turn as you'll often get value from 77 - 99, and JJ. The only reason to check the turn is if villain donk leads often w/ strength or you've seen him take this line before where he signified strength.
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Old 07-14-2009, 05:39 AM
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Wow, mxrider.

I have absolutely no idea why you dont bet turn and shove river?? If you dont want to get it in than why are you raising on the flop?
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Old 07-17-2009, 09:43 PM
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Its an easy BET BET BET!
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