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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 01-07-2010, 09:01 AM
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Default 100nl- AQs on button flops NFD vs 2 opponents

We have flopped the NFD and overs but are facing a lot of action when it gets to us. BB is playing 35/19/1.6 with a 36% cold call preflop over 130 hands. He has a 13% donk bet so it doesn't mean a whole lot but he likely has a small piece of this board. MP is playing a fairly loose passive game with a 24/11/4.5 preflop over 150 hands. I decide not to 3bet as I want to keep MP's range wide. When MP raised the donk bet I can pretty much put him on an overpair and feel we have no folding equity. I don't have pokerstove available right this second so not sure if we have enough equity to make shoving correct. So, it's your decision, are you folding or shoving?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($53.70)
UTG ($104.10)
MP ($96.50)
CO ($150)
Hero (Button) ($171.55)
SB ($102)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, A
1 fold, MP bets $3.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $3.50, 1 fold, BB calls $2.50

Flop: ($11) 3, 7, 9 (3 players)
BB bets $5, MP raises to $26, Hero?
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Old 01-07-2010, 03:43 PM
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We have blockers to AA which is like the only thing that we don't want to ship it against. When I first read the hand I wanted to fold but I think shipping is best now that I think about, especially since bb is a fish and will pay off with TP a lot.
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Old 01-07-2010, 05:41 PM
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At first I saw shove or fold situation, and you are flipping at best IMO, underdogging sometimes when MP's on aces and/or the BB has some spades blocked.

The other thought is it will be very good to suck the BB into the pot (better pot odds), I'm just inclined to think your action rarely affects the BB's folding or staying in, he either likes his hand and will play or does not and will fold regardless.
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Old 01-07-2010, 08:40 PM
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Tough spot. I think folding may be best, although I always just shove in game.
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Old 01-11-2010, 08:44 AM
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I ended up shipping here. BB folded and as I thought, MP called with his overpair of TT.
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